Match Info

T20 World Cup - First stage

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Afghanistan		South Africa

	1	2
	3.2	1.33	Watch
	2.85	1.34
	2.26	1.60	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.45	1.33	Watch
	2.9	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.07)	1.39 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afghanistan
32.1%

South Africa
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afghanistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

South Africa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afghanistan than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Africa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Afghanistan - South Africa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Afghanistan will win (votes: 1 - 25%). South Africa will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. South Africa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - South Africa (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. South Africa (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afghanistan won 2.

Afghanistan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

South Africa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Afghanistan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, South Africa is the team to beat.

We predict that Afghanistan will win today's game, with odds of 3.14.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Afghanistan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1395:1369. (average 155:152.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afghanistan cricket
T20 World Cup
08.02.26	Afghanistan - New Zealand	182:183 ✺
04.02.26	Afghanistan - West Indies	182:159 ✺
02.02.26	Afghanistan - Scotland	184:123 ✺
Twenty20 International
22.01.26	Afghanistan - West Indies	138:151 ✺
21.01.26	Afghanistan - West Indies	189:150 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLW
- South Africa cricket
T20 World Cup
09.02.26	Canada - South Africa	156:213 ✺
04.02.26	India - South Africa	240:210 ✺
Twenty20 International
31.01.26	South Africa - West Indies	118:114 ✺
29.01.26	South Africa - West Indies	225:221 ✺
27.01.26	South Africa - West Indies	176:173 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ICC Champions Trophy
21.02.25	Afghanistan - South Africa	208:315
One Day International
22.09.24	Afghanistan - South Africa	169:170
20.09.24	Afghanistan - South Africa	311:134
18.09.24	Afghanistan - South Africa	107:106
T20 World Cup
26.06.24	Afghanistan - South Africa	56:60
ICC World Cup
10.11.23	Afghanistan - South Africa	247:244
29.09.23	South Africa - Afghanistan	Abandoned

Afghanistan - South Africa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide