Match Info

T20 World Cup - First stage

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Lemar
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video
India	JioStar, JioTV app
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports UHD
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Australia		Sri Lanka

	1	2
	1.44	2.7	Watch
	1.4	2.6
	1.27	3.56	Watch
	1.44	2.8
	1.47	2.78	Watch
	1.41	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.36)	2.87 ↓ (3.14)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Australia
67.1%

Sri Lanka
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Australia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Sri Lanka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Australia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sri Lanka than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Australia - Sri Lanka Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Australia will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Sri Lanka will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Australia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sri Lanka (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5, OT - Sri Lanka (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Australia (votes: 1 - 25%). Sri Lanka (votes: 3 - 75%).

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Australia won 3.

Australia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sri Lanka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Australia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Australia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Australia won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 4835:4878. (average 241.8:243.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Australia cricket
T20 World Cup
13.02.26	Australia - Zimbabwe	146:169 ✺
11.02.26	Australia - Ireland	182:115 ✺
05.02.26	Australia - Netherlands	Abandoned ✺
Twenty20 International
01.02.26	Pakistan - Australia	207:96 ✺
31.01.26	Pakistan - Australia	198:108 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LW?LL
- Sri Lanka cricket
T20 World Cup
12.02.26	Sri Lanka - Oman	225:120 ✺
08.02.26	Sri Lanka - Ireland	163:143 ✺
Twenty20 International
03.02.26	Sri Lanka - England	116:128 ✺
01.02.26	Sri Lanka - England	189:173 ✺
30.01.26	Sri Lanka - England	133:125 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

One Day International
13.02.25	Sri Lanka - Australia	281:107
11.02.25	Sri Lanka - Australia	214:165
Test Series
05.02.25	Sri Lanka - Australia	488:489
28.01.25	Sri Lanka - Australia	412:654
ICC World Cup
16.10.23	Australia - Sri Lanka	215:209
T20 World Cup
25.10.22	Australia - Sri Lanka	158:157
Test Series
08.07.22	Sri Lanka - Australia	554:515

Upcoming Matches