Match Info

WORLD: ICC WORLD CUP

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium (Dharamsala)

Referee: Pycroft AJ (Zim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Sports Cricket


	Bangladesh		Afghanistan

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.65	2.1
	1.69	2.25
	1.67	2.2
	1.67	2.15	Watch
	1.63	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.07)	2.14 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 511.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangladesh
56.2%

Afghanistan
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangladesh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bangladesh's performance.

Afghanistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Afghanistan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangladesh than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bangladesh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afghanistan than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Afghanistan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Bangladesh - Afghanistan Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bangladesh will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Afghanistan will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bangladesh: 23.1% – 88.1%.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bangladesh won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bangladesh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 28 head-to-head matches Bangladesh won 15 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 5092-5087.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangladesh cricket
Asian Games Cricket
06.10.23	Bangladesh - Pakistan	65:48 ✺
05.10.23	India - Bangladesh	97:96 ✺
04.10.23	Bangladesh - Malaysia	116:114 ✺
ICC World Cup
02.10.23	Bangladesh - England	188:197 ✺
29.09.23	Bangladesh - Sri Lanka	264:263 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWLW
- Afghanistan cricket
Asian Games Cricket
06.10.23	Pakistan - Afghanistan	115:116 ✺
03.10.23	Sri Lanka - Afghanistan	108:116 ✺
ICC World Cup
03.10.23	Afghanistan - Sri Lanka	261:294 ✺
29.09.23	South Africa - Afghanistan	Abandoned ✺
Asia Cup ODI
05.09.23	Afghanistan - Sri Lanka	289:291 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWL?L

Latest Head to Head

Asia Cup ODI
03.09.23	Afghanistan - Bangladesh	251:334
Twenty20 International
16.07.23	Bangladesh - Afghanistan	119:116
14.07.23	Bangladesh - Afghanistan	157:154
One Day International
11.07.23	Bangladesh - Afghanistan	129:126
08.07.23	Bangladesh - Afghanistan	189:331
05.07.23	Bangladesh - Afghanistan	169:83
Test Series
14.06.23	Bangladesh - Afghanistan	382:146

Bangladesh - Afghanistan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide