Match Info

Vitality Blast

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday


	Durham		Derbyshire

	1	2
	1.68	2.05
	1.72	2.1
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.57	2.08
	1.72	2.15	Watch
	1.7	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.71)	2.09 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 329.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Durham
55.4%

Derbyshire
44.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Durham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Derbyshire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durham than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derbyshire than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Durham - Derbyshire Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Durham will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Durham won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Durham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Derbyshire has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Durham will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Durham won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 5560:5306. (average 278:265.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Durham won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3326:3031. (average 302.4:275.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Durham - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.82%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Derbyshire - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.18%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Durham Jets
Vitality Blast
08.07.26	Leicestershire - Durham	156:160 ✺
05.07.26	Durham - Nottinghamshire	164:166 ✺
03.07.26	Yorkshire - Durham	208:205 ✺
28.06.26	Middlesex - Durham	118:218 ✺
County Championship Two Cricket
19.06.26	Durham - Northamptonshire	701:700 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWW
- Derbyshire Falcons
Vitality Blast
08.07.26	Derbyshire - Somerset	187:214 ✺
06.07.26	Lancashire - Derbyshire	150:150 ✺
01.07.26	Derbyshire - Lancashire	201:205 ✺
28.06.26	Derbyshire - Yorkshire	215:215 ✺
County Championship Two Cricket
19.06.26	Derbyshire - Lancashire	364:161 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

County Championship Two Cricket
12.06.26	Durham - Derbyshire	377:118
Vitality Blast
22.05.26	Derbyshire - Durham	197:203
11.06.25	Durham - Derbyshire	168:152
Royal London One-Day Cup
14.08.24	Durham - Derbyshire	252:256
Vitality Blast
19.07.24	Derbyshire - Durham	155:159
Royal London One-Day Cup
11.08.23	Durham - Derbyshire	333:306
County Championship Two Cricket
19.07.23	Derbyshire - Durham	443:575

Durham - Derbyshire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide