Match Info

Vitality Blast

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday


	Leicestershire		Durham

	1	2
	2.05	1.68
	2.15	1.7
	2.18	1.62	Watch
	2.08	1.57
	2.16	1.71	Watch
	2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.23)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 344.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicestershire
44.4%

Durham
55.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicestershire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Durham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Leicestershire aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Durham aligns with the current prediction.

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicestershire won 2.

Leicestershire is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Durham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leicestershire may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Leicestershire has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leicestershire won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 4276:4916. (average 213.8:245.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Leicestershire won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2246:2447. (average 224.6:244.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Leicestershire - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.35%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Durham - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.65%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicestershire County Cricket Club
Vitality Blast
05.07.26	Yorkshire - Leicestershire	207:166 ✺
28.06.26	Leicestershire - Nottinghamshire	135:209 ✺
26.06.26	Leicestershire - Lancashire	156:160 ✺
County Championship One Cricket
19.06.26	Leicestershire - Yorkshire	453:185 ✺
12.06.26	Leicestershire - Essex	187:401 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- Durham Jets
Vitality Blast
05.07.26	Durham - Nottinghamshire	164:166 ✺
03.07.26	Yorkshire - Durham	208:205 ✺
28.06.26	Middlesex - Durham	118:218 ✺
County Championship Two Cricket
19.06.26	Durham - Northamptonshire	701:700 ✺
12.06.26	Durham - Derbyshire	377:118 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Vitality Blast
24.05.26	Durham - Leicestershire	150:148
15.07.25	Durham - Leicestershire	Abandoned
06.06.25	Leicestershire - Durham	193:187
12.06.24	Durham - Leicestershire	130:140
07.06.24	Leicestershire - Durham	176:178
County Championship Two Cricket
26.09.23	Durham - Leicestershire	457:143
25.06.23	Leicestershire - Durham	422:517

Leicestershire - Durham: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

Latest Head to Head

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