Match Info

T20 World Cup - First stage

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Italy		Nepal

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.34
	3.41	1.29	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.13	1.39	Watch
	2.9	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.97)	1.36 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
30.8%

Nepal
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Nepal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Italy - Nepal Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Nepal will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nepal (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - Nepal (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 2 - 50%). Nepal (votes: 2 - 50%).

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Preview

Italy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Italy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nepal is considered a favorite.

We predict that Italy will win today's game, with odds of 3.39.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

Asia

		Pts	W	L	D	N/R		Pts
1	Nepal	5	5	0	0	0	781:612	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy cricket
T20 World Cup
09.02.26	Italy - Scotland	134:207 ✺
06.02.26	Italy - United Arab Emirates	193:81 ✺
02.02.26	Canada - Italy	146:156 ✺
Twenty20 International
26.01.26	Ireland - Italy	154:157 ✺
25.01.26	Ireland - Italy	190:166 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWWL
- Nepal cricket
T20 World Cup
08.02.26	England - Nepal	184:180 ✺
05.02.26	Canada - Nepal	162:161 ✺
03.02.26	Nepal - United Arab Emirates	148:145 ✺
ICC Cricket World Cup League 2
05.11.25	United Arab Emirates - Nepal	243:239 ✺
01.11.25	Nepal - USA	271:273 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL

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