Match Info

Vijay Hazare Trophy

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday


	Kerala		Madhya Pradesh

	1	2
	1.95	1.82
	1.9	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.87)	1.81 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kerala
48.5%

Madhya Pradesh
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kerala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Madhya Pradesh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerala than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madhya Pradesh than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kerala may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Madhya Pradesh has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kerala won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 737:681. (average 184.3:170.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kerala won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 456:489. (average 152:163).

Last Results with these Odds

Kerala - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Madhya Pradesh - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kerala cricket team
Vijay Hazare Trophy
25.12.25	Karnataka - Kerala	285:284 ✺
23.12.25	Kerala - Tripura	348:203 ✺
Syed Mushtaq Ali Trophy
08.12.25	Assam - Kerala	105:101 ✺
06.12.25	Andhra Pradesh - Kerala	123:119 ✺
03.12.25	Kerala - Mumbai	178:163 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLW
- Madhya Pradesh cricket team
Vijay Hazare Trophy
25.12.25	Madhya Pradesh - Tamil Nadu	283:280 ✺
23.12.25	Madhya Pradesh - Rajasthan	287:188 ✺
Syed Mushtaq Ali Trophy
15.12.25	Madhya Pradesh - Punjab	225:226 ✺
14.12.25	Madhya Pradesh - Jharkhand	180:181 ✺
11.12.25	Andhra Pradesh - Madhya Pradesh	112:113 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ranji Trophy
15.11.25	Madhya Pradesh - Kerala	192:281
22.01.25	Kerala - Madhya Pradesh	167:160
Vijay Hazare Trophy
25.12.24	Kerala - Madhya Pradesh	Abandoned
08.12.21	Kerala - Madhya Pradesh	289:329

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