Match Info

Vitality Blast

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Willow TV
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event
Usa	Willow TV


	Leicestershire		Derbyshire

	1	2
	1.62	2.3
	1.72	2
	1.85	1.88	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.74	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.84)	2.06 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 342.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicestershire
54.1%

Derbyshire
45.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.9%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicestershire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Derbyshire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicestershire than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derbyshire than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Leicestershire - Derbyshire Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leicestershire will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Derbyshire will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicestershire won 3.

Leicestershire is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Derbyshire has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leicestershire won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 6344:5460. (average 317.2:273).

Including home matches between the teams, Leicestershire won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2900:2723. (average 290:272.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Leicestershire - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.94%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Derbyshire - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 49.06%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicestershire County Cricket Club
Vitality Blast
24.05.26	Durham - Leicestershire	150:148 ✺
22.05.26	Leicestershire - Worcestershire	170:188 ✺
County Championship One Cricket
15.05.26	Essex - Leicestershire	293:333 ✺
08.05.26	Sussex - Leicestershire	561:560 ✺
01.05.26	Leicestershire - Nottinghamshire	562:567 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWLL
- Derbyshire Falcons
Vitality Blast
24.05.26	Yorkshire - Derbyshire	195:194 ✺
22.05.26	Derbyshire - Durham	197:203 ✺
County Championship Two Cricket
15.05.26	Middlesex - Derbyshire	177:376 ✺
08.05.26	Derbyshire - Northamptonshire	604:491 ✺
01.05.26	Kent - Derbyshire	352:304 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Royal London One-Day Cup
20.08.25	Leicestershire - Derbyshire	312:312
County Championship Two Cricket
22.07.25	Derbyshire - Leicestershire	189:398
Vitality Blast
14.06.25	Derbyshire - Leicestershire	197:196
30.05.25	Leicestershire - Derbyshire	171:170
County Championship Two Cricket
11.04.25	Leicestershire - Derbyshire	484:393
26.09.24	Leicestershire - Derbyshire	280:252
Vitality Blast
06.07.24	Leicestershire - Derbyshire	184:188

Leicestershire - Derbyshire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide