Match Info

Big Bash League

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Cricket
Australia	Fox Sports Cricket, Kayo Sports
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Nigeria	SuperSport Cricket
North-central-america	SportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
South-africa	SuperSport Cricket
United-kingdom	Sky Go


	Melbourne Renegades		Melbourne Stars

	1	2
	2.5	1.54	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.01	1.75	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.36	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.96)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 325.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Renegades
40.3%

Melbourne Stars
59.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.3%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Renegades has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Renegades's form might have worsened.

Melbourne Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Stars's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Renegades than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Renegades, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Stars than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Renegades will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Stars will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Melbourne Renegades will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renegades won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Renegades won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2899:2960. (average 145:148).

Including home matches between the teams, Renegades won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1611:1719. (average 146.5:156.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Renegades
Australian Big Bash T20
07.01.26	Perth Scorchers - Melbourne Renegades	127:130 ✺
04.01.26	Melbourne Stars - Melbourne Renegades	173:177 ✺
01.01.26	Melbourne Renegades - Sydney Sixers	164:168 ✺
29.12.25	Hobart Hurricanes - Melbourne Renegades	163:162 ✺
21.12.25	Melbourne Renegades - Hobart Hurricanes	145:149 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLL
- Melbourne Stars
Australian Big Bash T20
08.01.26	Melbourne Stars - Sydney Sixers	128:129 ✺
04.01.26	Melbourne Stars - Melbourne Renegades	173:177 ✺
02.01.26	Brisbane Heat - Melbourne Stars	199:195 ✺
28.12.25	Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder	132:128 ✺
26.12.25	Sydney Sixers - Melbourne Stars	144:145 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Big Bash T20
04.01.26	Melbourne Stars - Melbourne Renegades	173:177
12.01.25	Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars	123:165
04.01.25	Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars	168:171
Australian Top End Series
09.08.24	Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars	150:149
Australian Big Bash T20
13.01.24	Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars	139:137
02.01.24	Melbourne Stars - Melbourne Renegades	98:97
14.01.23	Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars	162:156

Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide