Match Info

Big Bash League

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Cricket
Australia	Fox Sports Cricket, Kayo Sports
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Nigeria	SuperSport Cricket
North-central-america	SportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
South-africa	SuperSport Cricket
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD


	Melbourne Stars		Sydney Thunder

	1	2
	1.72	2.15	Watch
	1.68	2.15
	1.41	2.82	Watch
	1.7	2.15
	1.64	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.7)	2.29 ↑ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne Stars
58.4%

Sydney Thunder
41.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Sydney Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Stars will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Thunder will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stars: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stars (votes: 1 - 50%). Thunder (votes: 1 - 50%).

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stars won 0.

Thunder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Stars will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stars won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2949:3120. (average 147.5:156).

Including home matches between the teams, Stars won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1768:1740. (average 160.7:158.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne Stars
Australian Big Bash T20
26.12.25	Sydney Sixers - Melbourne Stars	144:145 ✺
23.12.25	Adelaide Strikers - Melbourne Stars	155:161 ✺
18.12.25	Melbourne Stars - Hobart Hurricanes	159:158 ✺
22.01.25	Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Stars	135:114 ✺
19.01.25	Melbourne Stars - Hobart Hurricanes	219:179 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLW
- Sydney Thunder
Australian Big Bash T20
22.12.25	Sydney Thunder - Brisbane Heat	193:159 ✺
20.12.25	Sydney Thunder - Sydney Sixers	151:198 ✺
16.12.25	Hobart Hurricanes - Sydney Thunder	181:180 ✺
27.01.25	Hobart Hurricanes - Sydney Thunder	185:182 ✺
24.01.25	Sydney Sixers - Sydney Thunder	151:157 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Big Bash T20
22.01.25	Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Stars	135:114
28.12.24	Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder	164:182
22.12.23	Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder	172:176
25.01.23	Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder	119:120
13.12.22	Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Stars	123:122
12.12.21	Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Stars	151:155
10.12.21	Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder	165:161

Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide