Match Info

AUSTRALIA: Big Bash League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 January 2025, Wednesday


	Sydney Thunder		Melbourne Stars

	1	2
	2.25	1.65
	2.1	1.67
	2.1	1.65
	2.07	1.71	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.16	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.06)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 308.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney Thunder
43.9%

Melbourne Stars
56.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Melbourne Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Thunder than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney Thunder, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Stars than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Stars Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Thunder will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Stars will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Thunder won 4.

Recent matches Thunder is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stars is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Thunder could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's Stars to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Thunder won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 3117:2980 (average 155.9:149).

Including matches at home between the teams Thunder won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1245:1067 (average 155.6:133.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney Thunder
Australian Big Bash T20
17.01.25	Sydney Sixers - Sydney Thunder	Abandoned ✺
13.01.25	Sydney Thunder - Perth Scorchers	158:97 ✺
10.01.25	Hobart Hurricanes - Sydney Thunder	165:164 ✺
08.01.25	Sydney Thunder - Hobart Hurricanes	Abandoned ✺
06.01.25	Brisbane Heat - Sydney Thunder	174:173 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 ?WL?L
- Melbourne Stars
Australian Big Bash T20
19.01.25	Melbourne Stars - Hobart Hurricanes	219:179 ✺
12.01.25	Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars	123:165 ✺
09.01.25	Melbourne Stars - Sydney Sixers	156:140 ✺
04.01.25	Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars	168:171 ✺
01.01.25	Brisbane Heat - Melbourne Stars	149:153 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Big Bash T20
28.12.24	Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder	164:182
22.12.23	Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder	172:176
25.01.23	Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder	119:120
13.12.22	Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Stars	123:122
12.12.21	Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Stars	151:155
10.12.21	Melbourne Stars - Sydney Thunder	165:161
29.12.20	Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Stars	219:144

Sydney Thunder - Melbourne Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide