The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nottinghamshire 47.5%
Durham 52.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.2%
49.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
47.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nottinghamshire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Durham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottinghamshire than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nottinghamshire, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durham than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Durham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottinghamshire won 2.
Recent form of Nottinghamshire has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Durham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nottinghamshire won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6004:5717. (average 300.2:285.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Nottinghamshire won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3559:2985. (average 323.5:271.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Nottinghamshire - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 50.22%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
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