The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tasmanian Tigers 55.7%
Victoria 44.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
72%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tasmanian Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tasmanian Tigers's form might have worsened.
Victoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Victoria's recent form is better than expected.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tasmania won 3.
In recent outings, Tasmania has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Victoria has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Tasmania has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Tasmania in today's match, at odds of 1.73.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tasmania has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6561:5997 (averaging 328.1:299.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tasmania against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 3299:3015 goals (averaging 299.9:274.1 per game).