Match Info

Date: 1 May 2020, Friday


	Aaron Monk		Keelan Kay

	1	2
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.2	4	Watch
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.23	3.75
	1.17	4.64
	1.21	4.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.31)	4.24 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aaron Monk
77.9%

Keelan Kay
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aaron Monk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aaron Monk's performance.

Keelan Kay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keelan Kay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aaron Monk than the current prediction. (-29.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aaron Monk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keelan Kay than the current prediction. (+29.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keelan Kay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Aaron Monk - Keelan Kay Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Monk will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Kay will win (votes: 18 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kay: 76.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aaron Monk
Darts
01.05.20	Ritchie Edhouse - Aaron Monk	5:1 best of 9 legs ✺
01.05.20	Jeff Smith - Aaron Monk	1:5 best of 9 legs ✺
01.05.20	Aaron Monk - Jose Justicia	5:2 best of 9 legs ✺
30.04.20	Aaron Monk - Keelan Kay	N/A
30.04.20	Aaron Monk - Keelan Kay	5:4 best of 9 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWW?W
- Keelan Kay
Darts
01.05.20	Jose Justicia - Keelan Kay	5:2 best of 9 legs ✺
01.05.20	Keelan Kay - Ritchie Edhouse	0:5 best of 9 legs ✺
30.04.20	Aaron Monk - Keelan Kay	N/A
30.04.20	Keelan Kay - Jeff Smith	4:5 best of 9 legs ✺
30.04.20	Aaron Monk - Keelan Kay	5:4 best of 9 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LL?LL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
30.04.20	Aaron Monk - Keelan Kay	N/A
30.04.20	Aaron Monk - Keelan Kay	5:4 best of 9 legs
28.04.20	Keelan Kay - Aaron Monk	3:5 best of 9 legs

Aaron Monk - Keelan Kay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide