Match Info

Date: 14 May 2020, Thursday


	Aaron Monk		Wessel Nijman

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.96	1.76
	1.95	1.72
	1.91	1.8
	1.98	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.03)	1.78 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aaron Monk
47.9%

Wessel Nijman
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aaron Monk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Wessel Nijman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aaron Monk than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aaron Monk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wessel Nijman than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wessel Nijman could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4%	0%	96%

Aaron Monk - Wessel Nijman Predictions

Users Predictions: Wessel Nijman will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.32% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aaron Monk
Darts
14.05.20	Aaron Monk - David Evans	4:2 best of 7 legs ✺
14.05.20	Paul Nicholson - Aaron Monk	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
14.05.20	Scott Mitchell - Aaron Monk	2:4 best of 7 legs ✺
14.05.20	Aaron Monk - Darryl Fitton	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
12.05.20	Aaron Monk - Paul Nicholson	4:3 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW
- Wessel Nijman
Darts
14.05.20	Wessel Nijman - Keelan Kay	4:1 best of 7 legs ✺
14.05.20	Wessel Nijman - Scott Mitchell	4:1 best of 7 legs ✺
14.05.20	Darryl Fitton - Wessel Nijman	3:4 best of 7 legs ✺
14.05.20	Wessel Nijman - David Evans	0:4 best of 7 legs ✺
14.05.20	Paul Nicholson - Wessel Nijman	1:4 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
12.05.20	Wessel Nijman - Aaron Monk	4:2 best of 7 legs
09.05.20	Aaron Monk - Wessel Nijman	4:3 best of 7 legs
07.05.20	Wessel Nijman - Aaron Monk	4:0 best of 7 legs
05.05.20	Aaron Monk - Wessel Nijman	4:1 best of 7 legs

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