Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Aden Kirk		Simon Whitlock

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.37	2.75
			Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.61	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.61)	2.35 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aden Kirk
60.3%

Simon Whitlock
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aden Kirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Simon Whitlock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aden Kirk than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aden Kirk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simon Whitlock than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Simon Whitlock could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aden Kirk - Simon Whitlock Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

#ad

Preview

Kirk is ranked World Ranking: 188. Whitlock is ranked World Ranking: 69.

Kirk is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Whitlock has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kirk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kirk could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Simon Whitlock - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.44%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aden Kirk
Darts
16.05.26	Peter Hughes - Aden Kirk	4:3 ✺
15.05.26	Aden Kirk - Asa Cansdale	4:3 ✺
15.05.26	Richard McKee - Aden Kirk	3:4 ✺
15.05.26	Aden Kirk - Giovanni Matthee	2:4 ✺
15.05.26	Adam Smith-Neale - Aden Kirk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLW
- Simon Whitlock
Darts
16.05.26	Simon Whitlock - Peter Hughes	3:4 ✺
15.05.26	Graham Usher - Simon Whitlock	4:2 ✺
15.05.26	Simon Whitlock - Colin Osborne	4:1 ✺
15.05.26	Lewis Gurney - Simon Whitlock	3:4 ✺
15.05.26	Simon Whitlock - Peter Hughes	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWL

Aden Kirk - Simon Whitlock: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide