Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday


	Alec Small		Derek Coulson

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.44
	2.5	1.42	Watch
	2.59	1.43	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.56	1.46	Watch
	2.5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.57)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alec Small
36.1%

Derek Coulson
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alec Small has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Derek Coulson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alec Small than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alec Small that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derek Coulson than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derek Coulson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alec Small - Derek Coulson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Preview

Small is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Coulson is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Coulson will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Coulson to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Small won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:16 (average 1.3:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alec Small
Darts
23.04.25	Shane Mcguirk - Alec Small	2:4 ✺
22.04.25	Alec Small - Shane Mcguirk	1:4 ✺
22.04.25	Mervyn King - Alec Small	4:3 ✺
22.04.25	Alec Small - Derek Coulson	3:4 ✺
22.04.25	Scott Campbell - Alec Small	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLL
- Derek Coulson
Darts
23.04.25	Derek Coulson - Mervyn King	1:4 ✺
22.04.25	Scott Campbell - Derek Coulson	3:4 ✺
22.04.25	Derek Coulson - Jenson Walker	3:4 ✺
22.04.25	Alec Small - Derek Coulson	3:4 ✺
22.04.25	Derek Coulson - Mervyn King	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
22.04.25	Alec Small - Derek Coulson	3:4
21.04.25	Derek Coulson - Alec Small	4:1
08.03.24	Derek Coulson - Alec Small	4:1
07.03.24	Alec Small - Derek Coulson	0:4

Alec Small - Derek Coulson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide