Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Alex Williams		Michael Warburton

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.76	1.89
	1.76	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.72	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.83)	1.94 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Williams
52.5%

Michael Warburton
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Williams has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Michael Warburton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Williams than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Williams that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Warburton than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Warburton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alex Williams - Michael Warburton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

In recent matches, both players have secured multiple victories.

Williams may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Warburton - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Williams
Darts
21.02.26	Adrian Devine - Alex Williams	1:4 ✺
20.02.26	Robert Thornton - Alex Williams	2:4 ✺
20.02.26	Alex Williams - Justin Smith	4:1 ✺
20.02.26	Jyri Ussa - Alex Williams	0:4 ✺
20.02.26	Alex Williams - Phil Johnson-Hale	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW
- Michael Warburton
Darts
21.02.26	Michael Warburton - Adrian Devine	1:4 ✺
20.02.26	Sam Spivey - Michael Warburton	1:4 ✺
20.02.26	Michael Warburton - Andy Baetens	4:3 ✺
20.02.26	Michael Warburton - Kevin Burness	4:3 ✺
20.02.26	Adrian Devine - Michael Warburton	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWWW

Alex Williams - Michael Warburton: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide