Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Alex Williams		Justin Smith

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.8	1.84
	1.7	1.98	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.78	1.9
	1.7	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.77)	1.92 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Williams
52.2%

Justin Smith
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Williams has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Justin Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Williams than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Williams that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justin Smith than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Justin Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alex Williams - Justin Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Williams has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Smith is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Williams won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Williams
Darts
20.02.26	Jyri Ussa - Alex Williams	0:4 ✺
20.02.26	Alex Williams - Phil Johnson-Hale	4:0 ✺
20.02.26	Harry Ward - Alex Williams	1:4 ✺
19.02.26	Alex Williams - Harry Ward	4:1 ✺
19.02.26	Phil Johnson-Hale - Alex Williams	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWW
- Justin Smith
Darts
20.02.26	Justin Smith - Robert Thornton	4:1 ✺
20.02.26	Harry Ward - Justin Smith	3:4 ✺
20.02.26	Justin Smith - Jyri Ussa	4:2 ✺
19.02.26	Jyri Ussa - Justin Smith	1:4 ✺
19.02.26	Justin Smith - Harry Ward	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
19.02.26	Justin Smith - Alex Williams	0:4

Alex Williams - Justin Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide