Match Info

Grand Slam

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: WV Active Aldersley (Wolverhampton)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 2
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
World	PDC TV


	Chris Dobey		Jurjen van der Velde

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.25	3.35
	1.25	3.38	Watch
	1.27	3.48	Watch
	1.27	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.3)	3.6 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chris Dobey
74.1%

Jurjen van der Velde
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.8%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chris Dobey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Jurjen van der Velde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Dobey than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chris Dobey that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurjen van der Velde than the current prediction. (+21%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jurjen van der Velde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chris Dobey - Jurjen van der Velde Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dobey (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Preview

Dobey is ranked World Ranking: 11. van der Velde is ranked World Ranking: 143.

Dobey has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

van der Velde is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dobey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Dobey is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chris Dobey
Darts
30.10.25	Chris Dobey - Jim Williams	6:3 ✺
25.10.25	Chris Dobey - Michael Van Gerwen	5:10 ✺
23.10.25	Stephen Bunting - Chris Dobey	3:6 ✺
18.10.25	Chris Dobey - Dirk van Duijvenbode	2:6 ✺
14.10.25	Chris Dobey - Dominik Grüllich	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLW
- Jurjen van der Velde
Darts
26.09.25	Jurjen van der Velde - Gary Stone	4:0 ✺
26.09.25	Adam Mould - Jurjen van der Velde	1:4 ✺
26.09.25	Jamai van den Herik - Jurjen van der Velde	1:4 ✺
26.09.25	Jurjen van der Velde - Andy Hamilton	4:0 ✺
25.09.25	Andy Hamilton - Jurjen van der Velde	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL

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