Match Info

European Championship - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Westfalenhalle (Dortmund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	ITV 4
World	PDC TV


	Chris Dobey		Michael Van Gerwen

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.71
	1.92	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.15)	1.7 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chris Dobey
45.2%

Michael Van Gerwen
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chris Dobey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chris Dobey than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Chris Dobey - Michael Van Gerwen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Gerwen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Michael Van Gerwen will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 8:10

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Preview

Dobey is ranked World Ranking: 8. Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dobey won 0.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Dobey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Van Gerwen will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Dobey won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 48:83. (average 2.8:4.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chris Dobey
Darts
23.10.25	Stephen Bunting - Chris Dobey	3:6 ✺
18.10.25	Chris Dobey - Dirk van Duijvenbode	2:6 ✺
14.10.25	Chris Dobey - Dominik Grüllich	6:2 ✺
06.10.25	Chris Dobey - Cameron Menzies	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Chris Dobey - Matthew Campbell	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLW
- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
23.10.25	Wessel Nijman - Michael Van Gerwen	5:6 ✺
07.10.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert	5:6 ✺
20.09.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Matthew Dennant	6:2 ✺
14.09.25	Josh Rock - Michael Van Gerwen	6:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
10.04.25	Chris Dobey - Michael Van Gerwen	4:6
20.02.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Chris Dobey	6:4
02.01.25	Chris Dobey - Michael Van Gerwen	1:6
26.05.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Chris Dobey	6:1
03.02.24	Michael Van Gerwen - Chris Dobey	10:4
05.10.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Chris Dobey	2:3 best of 5 sets
18.05.23	Michael Van Gerwen - Chris Dobey	6:3

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