Match Info

World Matchplay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday

Location: Winter Gardens (Blackpool)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Sports 505
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports Main Event


	Chris Dobey		Ricardo Pietreczko

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.25	3.35
	1.28	3.35	Watch
	1.3	3.5
	1.3	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.3)	3.51 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chris Dobey
73.3%

Ricardo Pietreczko
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chris Dobey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Ricardo Pietreczko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Dobey than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chris Dobey that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ricardo Pietreczko than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ricardo Pietreczko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Chris Dobey - Ricardo Pietreczko Predictions

Users Predictions: Chris Dobey will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chris Dobey will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 10:5

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Preview

Dobey is ranked World Ranking: 6. Pietreczko is ranked World Ranking: 29.

Dobey is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pietreczko has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pietreczko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dobey is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dobey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chris Dobey
Darts
13.07.25	Gerwyn Price - Chris Dobey	7:3 ✺
13.07.25	Danny Noppert - Chris Dobey	1:6 ✺
13.07.25	Chris Dobey - Ross Smith	6:3 ✺
12.07.25	Chris Dobey - Dirk van Duijvenbode	6:3 ✺
09.07.25	Chris Dobey - Michael Mansell	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWW
- Ricardo Pietreczko
Darts
12.07.25	Nathan Aspinall - Ricardo Pietreczko	6:4 ✺
11.07.25	Ricardo Pietreczko - Sebastian Bialecki	6:2 ✺
19.06.25	Ricardo Pietreczko - Kim Huybrechts	6:4 ✺
17.06.25	Ricardo Pietreczko - Callan Rydz	6:3 ✺
01.06.25	Nathan Aspinall - Ricardo Pietreczko	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
26.04.25	Chris Dobey - Ricardo Pietreczko	6:1

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