Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN TOUR 11 - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Sparkassen-Arena (Jena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Damon Heta		Florian Hempel

	1	2
	1.4	3
	1.44	2.7
	1.4	2.9
	1.45	2.77
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	2.86
	1.39	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.38)	2.85 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damon Heta
66.9%

Florian Hempel
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damon Heta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Florian Hempel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damon Heta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florian Hempel than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Florian Hempel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Damon Heta - Florian Hempel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Heta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hempel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hempel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Heta is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Heta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damon Heta
Darts
05.09.23	Damon Heta - Richard Veenstra	3:6 ✺
04.09.23	Damon Heta - Tony Martinez	6:2 ✺
27.08.23	Damon Heta - Alexander Merkx	6:2
12.08.23	Gerwyn Price - Damon Heta	3:6 ✺
11.08.23	Damon Heta - Joe Comito	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWW
- Florian Hempel
Darts
08.09.23	Florian Hempel - James Wade	6:3 ✺
05.09.23	Dave Chisnall - Florian Hempel	2:6 ✺
27.08.23	Mervyn King - Florian Hempel	6:1 ✺
26.08.23	Damian Mol - Florian Hempel	4:6 ✺
10.07.23	Damon Heta - Florian Hempel	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
10.07.23	Damon Heta - Florian Hempel	6:3

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