Match Info

European Tour 12 - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: MVM Dome (Budapest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Net4+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Damon Heta		Niko Springer

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	3.45	1.24	Watch
	1.63	2.21
	1.52	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.63)	2.03 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damon Heta
49.6%

Niko Springer
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damon Heta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Damon Heta's form might have worsened.

Niko Springer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Niko Springer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Damon Heta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niko Springer than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Niko Springer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Damon Heta - Niko Springer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Heta is ranked World Ranking: 10. Springer is ranked World Ranking: 70.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Springer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Heta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Heta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Damon Heta - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 58.12%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damon Heta
Darts
13.09.25	Mike De Decker - Damon Heta	6:4 ✺
12.09.25	Damon Heta - Joe Cullen	6:1 ✺
06.09.25	Damon Heta - Wessel Nijman	5:6 ✺
31.08.25	Damon Heta - Luke Littler	5:6 ✺
31.08.25	Damon Heta - Ryan Joyce	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW
- Niko Springer
Darts
19.09.25	Gian Van Veen - Niko Springer	3:6 ✺
09.09.25	Steve Lennon - Niko Springer	4:6 ✺
06.09.25	Gerwyn Price - Niko Springer	6:2 ✺
05.09.25	Joe Cullen - Niko Springer	5:6 ✺
30.07.25	Niko Springer - Jeffrey de Graaf	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
02.04.23	Damon Heta - Niko Springer	6:3

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