Match Info

EUROPE: European Tour 11 - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: MVM Dome (Budapest)


	Damon Heta		Peter Wright

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.76	1.98
	1.71	2.12
	1.75	1.97	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.74	2.02
	1.76	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.81)	2.02 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damon Heta
53.6%

Peter Wright
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damon Heta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Peter Wright has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damon Heta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peter Wright than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peter Wright could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Damon Heta - Peter Wright Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Heta is ranked World Ranking: 9. Wright is ranked World Ranking: 11.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heta won 2.

Recent matches Heta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wright is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wright could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Heta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 30-43.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damon Heta
Darts
14.09.24	Luke Humphries - Damon Heta	6:5 ✺
13.09.24	Gabriel Clemens - Damon Heta	5:6 ✺
07.09.24	Damon Heta - Dirk van Duijvenbode	5:6 ✺
01.09.24	Damon Heta - Luke Littler	5:6 ✺
01.09.24	Damon Heta - Andrew Gilding	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLW
- Peter Wright
Darts
20.09.24	Peter Wright - Joe Cullen	6:5 ✺
15.09.24	Peter Wright - Michael Smith	6:11 ✺
15.09.24	Daryl Gurney - Peter Wright	4:10 ✺
14.09.24	Peter Wright - Jeff Smith	6:2 ✺
14.09.24	Peter Wright - Dave Chisnall	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
17.08.24	Peter Wright - Damon Heta	4:7
15.10.23	Damon Heta - Peter Wright	4:6
14.05.23	Damon Heta - Peter Wright	5:7
28.12.21	Peter Wright - Damon Heta	4:2 best of 5 sets
27.11.21	Peter Wright - Damon Heta	10:8 best of 19 legs
19.09.20	Peter Wright - Damon Heta	6:3 best of 11 legs
23.08.19	Peter Wright - Damon Heta	6:1 best of 11 legs

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