Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN TOUR 6 - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: World Trade Center (Leeuwarden)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Damon Heta		Steve Beaton

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.34	3
	1.38	2.95
	1.37	3
	1.45	2.81
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	2.86	Watch
	1.37	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.37)	2.93 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damon Heta
67.9%

Steve Beaton
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damon Heta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Steve Beaton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damon Heta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Steve Beaton than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Steve Beaton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Damon Heta - Steve Beaton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Heta is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Beaton is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Heta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Heta is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damon Heta
Darts
23.04.23	Damon Heta - Jonny Clayton	4:6 ✺
22.04.23	Damon Heta - Luke Woodhouse	6:4 ✺
10.04.23	Danny Noppert - Damon Heta	3:6 ✺
10.04.23	Damon Heta - Chris Dobey	6:5 ✺
09.04.23	Damon Heta - Gabriel Clemens	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWW
- Steve Beaton
Darts
28.04.23	Steve Beaton - Kim Huybrechts	6:4 ✺
09.04.23	Jose Oliveira De Sousa - Steve Beaton	6:2 ✺
08.04.23	Simon Whitlock - Steve Beaton	5:6 ✺
04.03.23	Steve Beaton - Robert Cross	3:10 ✺
03.03.23	Rowby John Rodriguez - Steve Beaton	4:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW

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