Match Info

European Tour 13 - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: XPO Antwerp (Antwerp)


	Damon Heta		Luke Woodhouse

	1	2
	2.10	1.73	Watch
	2.12	1.72
	2.12	1.68	Watch
	2.06	1.74
	2.03	1.68
	1.95	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.97)	1.72 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damon Heta
45.4%

Luke Woodhouse
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damon Heta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Luke Woodhouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Damon Heta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Woodhouse than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luke Woodhouse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Damon Heta - Luke Woodhouse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Heta is ranked World Ranking: 23. Woodhouse is ranked World Ranking: 18.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heta won 3.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Woodhouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Heta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 3.5:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Damon Heta - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 48.02%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damon Heta
Darts
12.09.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Damon Heta	5:6 ✺
11.09.26	Damon Heta - Beau Greaves	6:5 ✺
05.09.26	Jonny Clayton - Damon Heta	6:2 ✺
04.09.26	Damon Heta - Karel Sedlacek	6:4 ✺
28.08.26	Damon Heta - James Hurrell	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWL
- Luke Woodhouse
Darts
12.09.26	Luke Woodhouse - William OConnor	6:3 ✺
06.09.26	Luke Woodhouse - Danny Noppert	5:6 ✺
05.09.26	Stephen Bunting - Luke Woodhouse	4:6 ✺
04.09.26	Luke Woodhouse - Connor Scuut	6:4 ✺
29.08.26	Luke Woodhouse - Robert Cross	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
07.10.25	Damon Heta - Luke Woodhouse	1:2
27.12.24	Damon Heta - Luke Woodhouse	3:4
22.04.23	Damon Heta - Luke Woodhouse	6:4
23.12.21	Damon Heta - Luke Woodhouse	3:1 best of 5 sets
12.10.20	Damon Heta - Luke Woodhouse	5:4 best of 9 legs
06.10.20	Luke Woodhouse - Damon Heta	5:3 best of 9 legs

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