Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN TOUR 13 - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Danny Noppert		Jules Van Dongen

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	2.75
	1.43	2.73
	1.49	2.5
	1.44	2.75
	1.45	2.67
	1.43	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.39)	2.7 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danny Noppert
65.3%

Jules Van Dongen
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danny Noppert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Jules Van Dongen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danny Noppert than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Danny Noppert that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jules Van Dongen than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jules Van Dongen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Danny Noppert - Jules Van Dongen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Recent matches Noppert is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Van Dongen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Noppert could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Noppert will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danny Noppert
Darts
02.10.23	Gerwyn Price - Danny Noppert	2:0 best of 5 sets ✺
24.09.23	Scott Williams - Danny Noppert	6:5 ✺
23.09.23	Danny Noppert - Anton Ostlund	6:5 ✺
16.09.23	Nathan Aspinall - Danny Noppert	6:3 ✺
15.09.23	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Danny Noppert	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW
- Jules Van Dongen
Darts
13.10.23	Patrik Kovacs - Jules Van Dongen	2:6 ✺
09.09.23	Josh Rock - Jules Van Dongen	6:2 ✺
08.09.23	Connor Scuut - Jules Van Dongen	3:6 ✺
04.09.23	Jules Van Dongen - Berry Van Peer	6:3 ✺
27.08.23	Martin Schindler - Jules Van Dongen	3:6
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWWW

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