Match Info

Players Championship Finals - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Butlin's Minehead Resort (Minehead)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
World	PDC TV


	Nathan Aspinall		Danny Noppert

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.83	1.81
	1.79	1.89	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.79)	1.84 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Aspinall
49.6%

Danny Noppert
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathan Aspinall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Danny Noppert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danny Noppert than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Nathan Aspinall - Danny Noppert Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Noppert will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 10:9

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Preview

Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 21. Noppert is ranked World Ranking: 7.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 0.

Aspinall has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Noppert is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Aspinall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 74:83. (average 4.9:5.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Nathan Aspinall - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.36%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
22.11.25	Richard Veenstra - Nathan Aspinall	0:6 ✺
21.11.25	Karel Sedlacek - Nathan Aspinall	3:6 ✺
10.11.25	Luke Humphries - Nathan Aspinall	5:3 ✺
09.11.25	Nathan Aspinall - Alex Spellman	5:2 ✺
08.11.25	Nathan Aspinall - Michael Smith	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL
- Danny Noppert
Darts
22.11.25	Danny Noppert - Madars Razma	6:1 ✺
21.11.25	Danny Noppert - Ricky Evans	6:2 ✺
16.11.25	Luke Littler - Danny Noppert	16:9 ✺
15.11.25	Danny Noppert - Lukas Wenig	16:8 ✺
13.11.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert	6:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
25.10.25	Nathan Aspinall - Danny Noppert	7:10
13.07.25	Nathan Aspinall - Danny Noppert	2:6
21.09.24	Danny Noppert - Nathan Aspinall	6:4
14.04.24	Nathan Aspinall - Danny Noppert	2:6
26.01.24	Nathan Aspinall - Danny Noppert	2:6
16.09.23	Nathan Aspinall - Danny Noppert	6:3
18.07.23	Danny Noppert - Nathan Aspinall	9:11

Nathan Aspinall - Danny Noppert: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide