Match Info

European Tour 8 - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Wunderino (Kiel)


	Dave Chisnall		Joe Cullen

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	3	1.37
	2.35	1.55	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.32	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.13)	1.47 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dave Chisnall
35.8%

Joe Cullen
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dave Chisnall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dave Chisnall's form might have worsened.

Joe Cullen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joe Cullen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dave Chisnall than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dave Chisnall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joe Cullen than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joe Cullen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dave Chisnall - Joe Cullen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Chisnall is ranked World Ranking: 26. Cullen is ranked World Ranking: 33.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chisnall won 2.

Recent performances by Chisnall have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cullen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cullen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Cullen will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chisnall won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 3.7:3.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dave Chisnall
Darts
23.05.26	James Wade - Dave Chisnall	6:0 ✺
22.05.26	Dave Chisnall - Liam Maendl-Lawrance	6:3 ✺
08.05.26	Dave Chisnall - Cristo Reyes	3:6 ✺
18.04.26	Gerwyn Price - Dave Chisnall	6:4 ✺
17.04.26	Dave Chisnall - Petr Krivka	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW
- Joe Cullen
Darts
29.05.26	Joe Cullen - Marcel Hausotter	6:1 ✺
23.05.26	Ross Smith - Joe Cullen	6:3 ✺
22.05.26	Joe Cullen - Chris Landman	6:5 ✺
19.05.26	Joe Cullen - Mike De Decker	6:5 ✺
12.05.26	Joe Cullen - Lukas Wenig	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
22.11.24	Dave Chisnall - Joe Cullen	6:1
01.09.24	Dave Chisnall - Joe Cullen	6:0
28.04.24	Dave Chisnall - Joe Cullen	3:6
17.09.22	Joe Cullen - Dave Chisnall	6:5 best of 11 legs
25.10.20	Dave Chisnall - Joe Cullen	1:6 best of 11 legs
10.10.20	Dave Chisnall - Joe Cullen	3:2 best of 5 sets
17.10.15	Dave Chisnall - Joe Cullen	2:6 best of 11 legs

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