Match Info

European Tour 7 - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: WT Energiesysteme Arena (Riesa)


	James Wade		Dave Chisnall

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.39	2.95
	1.38	2.9	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.37	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.43)	2.96 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Wade
68.2%

Dave Chisnall
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Wade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Dave Chisnall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Wade than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dave Chisnall than the current prediction. (+4%)

James Wade - Dave Chisnall Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:3

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Preview

Wade is ranked World Ranking: 6. Chisnall is ranked World Ranking: 26.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wade won 1.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chisnall may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Wade is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Wade won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 57:81. (average 4.4:6.2).

Last Results with these Odds

James Wade - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 65.46%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Wade
Darts
13.05.26	James Wade - Greg Ritchie	6:1 ✺
10.05.26	James Wade - Luke Woodhouse	1:6 ✺
09.05.26	James Wade - Mensur Suljovic	6:2 ✺
19.04.26	James Wade - Nathan Aspinall	3:6 ✺
18.04.26	James Wade - Kim Huybrechts	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLW
- Dave Chisnall
Darts
22.05.26	Dave Chisnall - Liam Maendl-Lawrance	6:3 ✺
08.05.26	Dave Chisnall - Cristo Reyes	3:6 ✺
18.04.26	Gerwyn Price - Dave Chisnall	6:4 ✺
17.04.26	Dave Chisnall - Petr Krivka	6:4 ✺
14.04.26	Dave Chisnall - Richard Veenstra	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
10.02.26	Dave Chisnall - James Wade	6:5
07.09.24	Dave Chisnall - James Wade	6:2
29.01.22	James Wade - Dave Chisnall	4:10 best of 19 legs
29.09.19	James Wade - Dave Chisnall	4:6 best of 11 legs
24.03.19	James Wade - Dave Chisnall	6:1
01.07.17	Dave Chisnall - James Wade	6:2 best of 11 legs
11.05.17	Dave Chisnall - James Wade	6:6 best of 12 legs

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