Match Info

EUROPE: European Tour 12 - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: St. Jakobshalle (Basel)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dave Chisnall		Nathan Aspinall

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.54	2.34
	1.51	2.52
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.56	2.35
	1.54	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.63)	2.38 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dave Chisnall
60.6%

Nathan Aspinall
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dave Chisnall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Nathan Aspinall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dave Chisnall than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Dave Chisnall - Nathan Aspinall Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dave Chisnall
Darts
22.09.24	Dave Chisnall - Daryl Gurney	5:6 ✺
21.09.24	Dave Chisnall - Jonny Clayton	6:1 ✺
18.09.24	Dave Chisnall - Michael Van Gerwen	4:8
18.09.24	Dave Chisnall - Jose Oliveira De Sousa	6:1 ✺
14.09.24	Peter Wright - Dave Chisnall	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL
- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
27.09.24	Marcel Walpen - Nathan Aspinall	3:6 ✺
25.09.24	Luke Woodhouse - Nathan Aspinall	3:6 ✺
21.09.24	Danny Noppert - Nathan Aspinall	6:4 ✺
20.09.24	Krzysztof Ratajski - Nathan Aspinall	3:6 ✺
17.09.24	Darren Beveridge - Nathan Aspinall	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
14.05.23	Nathan Aspinall - Dave Chisnall	5:6
25.09.22	Nathan Aspinall - Dave Chisnall	4:6 best of 11 legs
27.09.20	Dave Chisnall - Nathan Aspinall	6:3 best of 11 legs
10.10.19	Dave Chisnall - Nathan Aspinall	3:1 best of 5 sets
29.09.19	Nathan Aspinall - Dave Chisnall	6:7 best of 13 legs
04.05.19	Dave Chisnall - Nathan Aspinall	4:6 best of 11 legs
09.09.17	Dave Chisnall - Nathan Aspinall	2:6 best of 11 legs

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