Match Info

European Tour 12 - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: MVM Dome (Budapest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Net4+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Dave Chisnall		Raymond Van Barneveld

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.14
	1.67	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.69)	2.11 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dave Chisnall
55.6%

Raymond Van Barneveld
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dave Chisnall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Raymond Van Barneveld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dave Chisnall than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raymond Van Barneveld than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Dave Chisnall - Raymond Van Barneveld Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Chisnall is ranked World Ranking: 14. Van Barneveld is ranked World Ranking: 34.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chisnall won 3.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Van Barneveld may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Chisnall won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 76:77. (average 6.3:6.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Dave Chisnall - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 56.01%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dave Chisnall
Darts
13.09.25	Dave Chisnall - Ross Smith	4:6 ✺
13.09.25	Nathan Aspinall - Dave Chisnall	2:6 ✺
06.09.25	Dave Chisnall - Ryan Searle	4:6 ✺
30.08.25	Dave Chisnall - Leon Weber	4:6 ✺
29.07.25	Dave Chisnall - Benjamin Drue-Reus	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLW
- Raymond Van Barneveld
Darts
19.09.25	Raymond Van Barneveld - Nandor Major	6:2 ✺
13.09.25	Gerwyn Price - Raymond Van Barneveld	6:4 ✺
13.09.25	Cor Dekker - Raymond Van Barneveld	5:6 ✺
05.09.25	Raymond Van Barneveld - Krzysztof Ratajski	1:6 ✺
30.08.25	Ryan Searle - Raymond Van Barneveld	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
12.11.22	Dave Chisnall - Raymond Van Barneveld	3:5 best of 9 legs
03.11.19	Raymond Van Barneveld - Dave Chisnall	8:10 best of 19 legs
02.10.18	Dave Chisnall - Raymond Van Barneveld	3:0 best of 5 sets
26.01.18	Dave Chisnall - Raymond Van Barneveld	9:10 best of 19 legs
04.05.17	Raymond Van Barneveld - Dave Chisnall	5:7 best of 12 legs
02.03.17	Dave Chisnall - Raymond Van Barneveld	7:2 best of 12 legs
27.01.17	Dave Chisnall - Raymond Van Barneveld	5:10 best of 19 legs

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