Match Info

World Series Finals - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: AFAS Live (Amsterdam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Sports MORE
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay


	Dave Chisnall		Ross Smith

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	4.94	1.12	Watch
	2.72	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.66)	1.33 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dave Chisnall
27.7%

Ross Smith
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dave Chisnall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dave Chisnall's form might have worsened.

Ross Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ross Smith's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dave Chisnall than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Dave Chisnall - Ross Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:6

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Preview

Chisnall is ranked World Ranking: 14. Smith is ranked World Ranking: 13.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chisnall won 0.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Smith will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Smith will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chisnall won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 3:5.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dave Chisnall
Darts
13.09.25	Nathan Aspinall - Dave Chisnall	2:6 ✺
06.09.25	Dave Chisnall - Ryan Searle	4:6 ✺
30.08.25	Dave Chisnall - Leon Weber	4:6 ✺
29.07.25	Dave Chisnall - Benjamin Drue-Reus	6:3 ✺
20.07.25	Dave Chisnall - Mike De Decker	7:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWL
- Ross Smith
Darts
13.09.25	Jonny Tata - Ross Smith	4:6 ✺
07.09.25	James Wade - Ross Smith	6:4 ✺
06.09.25	Ross Smith - Andrew Gilding	6:4 ✺
30.08.25	Ross Smith - Daryl Gurney	5:6 ✺
26.08.25	Ross Smith - Florian Hempel	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
03.05.25	Dave Chisnall - Ross Smith	3:6
21.04.25	Dave Chisnall - Ross Smith	2:6
23.03.25	Dave Chisnall - Ross Smith	4:6
10.11.24	Dave Chisnall - Ross Smith	2:5
15.05.22	Ross Smith - Dave Chisnall	6:4 best of 11 legs
05.10.21	Dave Chisnall - Ross Smith	3:2 best of 5 sets

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