Match Info

European Tour 11 - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: PVA Expo (Prague)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
Hungary	Net4+


	James Wade		Ross Smith

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.79	1.85
	1.66	2.01	Watch
	1.83	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)	1.93 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Wade
51.9%

Ross Smith
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Wade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Ross Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Wade than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for James Wade, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ross Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

James Wade - Ross Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Wade is ranked World Ranking: 5. Smith is ranked World Ranking: 14.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wade won 3.

Wade is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Smith's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wade won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 43:38. (average 7.2:6.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Wade
Darts
06.09.25	James Wade - Nathan Aspinall	6:3 ✺
31.08.25	James Wade - Gian Van Veen	6:4 ✺
31.08.25	James Wade - Leon Weber	6:2 ✺
30.08.25	James Wade - Kim Huybrechts	6:3 ✺
25.08.25	James Wade - Martijn Dragt	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW
- Ross Smith
Darts
06.09.25	Ross Smith - Andrew Gilding	6:4 ✺
30.08.25	Ross Smith - Daryl Gurney	5:6 ✺
26.08.25	Ross Smith - Florian Hempel	4:6 ✺
29.07.25	Ross Smith - Chris Landman	6:3 ✺
21.07.25	Ross Smith - Josh Rock	5:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
22.03.25	James Wade - Ross Smith	2:6
18.07.24	Ross Smith - James Wade	10:16
02.03.19	James Wade - Ross Smith	7:10 best of 19 legs
23.11.18	James Wade - Ross Smith	6:4 best of 11 legs
02.11.18	Ross Smith - James Wade	3:6 best of 11 legs
09.06.18	James Wade - Ross Smith	6:5 best of 11 legs

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