Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 20 July 2026, Monday


	Derek Coulson		Archie Self

	1	2
	1.22	4.00	Watch
	1.20	4.10
	1.32	3.18	Watch
	1.27	3.51
	1.26	3.49
	1.25	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.35)	3.6 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derek Coulson
74.2%

Archie Self
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derek Coulson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derek Coulson's performance.

Archie Self has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Archie Self might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derek Coulson than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derek Coulson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Archie Self than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Archie Self could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Derek Coulson - Archie Self Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Coulson is ranked World Ranking: 116.

Coulson is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Self is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Self may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Coulson is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derek Coulson
Darts
20.07.26	Henry Coates - Derek Coulson	2:4 ✺
20.07.26	Derek Coulson - Jack Aldridge	4:1 ✺
20.07.26	Ashley Coleman - Derek Coulson	4:2 ✺
20.07.26	Derek Coulson - David Evans	4:2 ✺
07.07.26	Derek Coulson - Benjamin Pratnemer	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWL
- Archie Self
Darts
20.07.26	Ashley Coleman - Archie Self	4:3 ✺
20.07.26	Archie Self - Henry Coates	0:4 ✺
20.07.26	David Evans - Archie Self	4:1 ✺
20.07.26	Archie Self - Jack Aldridge	1:4 ✺
23.05.26	Josh McCarthy - Archie Self	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLLW

Derek Coulson - Archie Self: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide