Match Info

UNITED KINGDOM: UK Open - Second stage - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Butlin's Minehead Resort (Minehead)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox Sports MORE
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
World	DAZN App, PDC TV


	Dimitri van den Bergh		Chris Dobey

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.32	1.49
	2.54	1.52
	2.14	1.62	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.32	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.28)	1.53 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dimitri van den Bergh
39%

Chris Dobey
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dimitri van den Bergh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Chris Dobey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dimitri van den Bergh than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Dobey than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Dimitri van den Bergh - Chris Dobey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 8:10

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Preview

van den Bergh is ranked World Ranking: 16. Dobey is ranked World Ranking: 8.

Last 5 head-to-head matches van den Bergh won 1.

van den Bergh is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dobey is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

van den Bergh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dobey will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Dobey to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 6 head-to-head matches van den Bergh won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:29 (average 2.8:4.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dimitri van den Bergh
Darts
28.02.25	Dimitri van den Bergh - Raymond Van Barneveld	10:6 ✺
10.02.25	Michael Smith - Dimitri van den Bergh	4:6 ✺
02.02.25	Jonny Clayton - Dimitri van den Bergh	5:2 ✺
02.02.25	Dimitri van den Bergh - Nathan Aspinall	4:1 ✺
01.02.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Dimitri van den Bergh	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWLWW
- Chris Dobey
Darts
28.02.25	Stephen Bunting - Chris Dobey	6:10 ✺
27.02.25	Chris Dobey - Nathan Aspinall	5:6 ✺
20.02.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Chris Dobey	6:4 ✺
18.02.25	Chris Dobey - Matthew Campbell	6:5
17.02.25	Chris Dobey - Krzysztof Ratajski	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
13.09.24	Dimitri van den Bergh - Chris Dobey	5:6
03.10.23	Dimitri van den Bergh - Chris Dobey	0:2 best of 5 sets
04.05.23	Chris Dobey - Dimitri van den Bergh	6:2
09.04.23	Dimitri van den Bergh - Chris Dobey	2:6
02.03.23	Dimitri van den Bergh - Chris Dobey	6:3
29.01.21	Dimitri van den Bergh - Chris Dobey	2:6 best of 11 legs

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