Match Info

Premier League - Night 11 - Semi-finals

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Ahoy Rotterdam (Rotterdam)


	Chris Dobey		Nathan Aspinall

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.85
	2	1.81
			Watch
	1.8	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.88)	1.86 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chris Dobey
49.7%

Nathan Aspinall
50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Chris Dobey have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Nathan Aspinall have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Dobey than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chris Dobey that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nathan Aspinall could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chris Dobey - Nathan Aspinall Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Dobey is ranked World Ranking: 9. Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 8.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dobey won 0.

Recent matches Dobey is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aspinall is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dobey could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Dobey won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 33:47 (average 4.7:6.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chris Dobey
Darts
17.04.25	Chris Dobey - Luke Humphries	6:3 ✺
10.04.25	Chris Dobey - Michael Van Gerwen	4:6 ✺
05.04.25	Chris Dobey - Wessel Nijman	3:6 ✺
03.04.25	Chris Dobey - Luke Littler	6:2 ✺
31.03.25	Chris Dobey - Dom Taylor	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLLWW
- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
17.04.25	Gerwyn Price - Nathan Aspinall	3:6 ✺
14.04.25	Nathan Aspinall - Adam Lipscombe	6:5 ✺
10.04.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Nathan Aspinall	2:6 ✺
10.04.25	Nathan Aspinall - Robert Cross	6:2 ✺
06.04.25	Nathan Aspinall - Martin Schindler	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
27.02.25	Chris Dobey - Nathan Aspinall	5:6
22.11.24	Chris Dobey - Nathan Aspinall	1:6
20.07.23	Chris Dobey - Nathan Aspinall	12:16
30.03.23	Nathan Aspinall - Chris Dobey	6:4
09.03.23	Chris Dobey - Nathan Aspinall	4:6
06.03.15	Nathan Aspinall - Chris Dobey	5:1

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