Match Info

European Tour 3 - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: WT Energiesysteme Arena (Riesa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Dimitri van den Bergh		Thibault Tricole

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.55	2.2
	1.57	2.23	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.7	2.07	Watch
	1.55	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.46)	2.23 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dimitri van den Bergh
58.3%

Thibault Tricole
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dimitri van den Bergh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dimitri van den Bergh's form might have worsened.

Thibault Tricole has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thibault Tricole's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dimitri van den Bergh than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dimitri van den Bergh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thibault Tricole than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thibault Tricole, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dimitri van den Bergh - Thibault Tricole Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

van den Bergh is ranked World Ranking: 20. Tricole is ranked World Ranking: 65.

Recent matches van den Bergh is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tricole is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tricole could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

van den Bergh will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dimitri van den Bergh
Darts
31.03.25	Dimitri van den Bergh - Florian Hempel	6:4 ✺
22.03.25	Dimitri van den Bergh - Ryan Joyce	4:6 ✺
08.03.25	Dimitri van den Bergh - Martin Schindler	3:6 ✺
01.03.25	Michael Smith - Dimitri van den Bergh	10:3 ✺
01.03.25	Dimitri van den Bergh - Chris Dobey	10:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLW
- Thibault Tricole
Darts
04.04.25	Michael Smith - Thibault Tricole	3:6 ✺
01.04.25	Adam Hunt - Thibault Tricole	6:1 ✺
31.03.25	Luke Littler - Thibault Tricole	6:3 ✺
07.03.25	Daryl Gurney - Thibault Tricole	6:1 ✺
28.02.25	Thibault Tricole - Tom Sykes	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLL

Dimitri van den Bergh - Thibault Tricole: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide