Match Info

Date: 28 December 2020, Monday


	Dirk van Duijvenbode		Adam Hunt

	1	2
	1.28	3.75	Watch
	1.28	3.6
	1.28	3.7	Watch
	1.25	3.55
	1.27	4.04
	1.3	3.5
	1.25	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)	3.76 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dirk van Duijvenbode
74.7%

Adam Hunt
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dirk van Duijvenbode has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Adam Hunt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dirk van Duijvenbode than the current prediction. (-20.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dirk van Duijvenbode that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adam Hunt than the current prediction. (+20.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adam Hunt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Dirk van Duijvenbode - Adam Hunt Predictions

Users Predictions: Dirk van Duijvenbode will win (28 of 30 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

van Duijvenbode in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Hunt is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

van Duijvenbode could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match van Duijvenbode is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dirk van Duijvenbode
Darts
22.12.20	Robert Cross - Dirk van Duijvenbode	2:3 best of 5 sets ✺
18.12.20	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Bradley Brooks	3:2 best of 5 sets ✺
29.11.20	Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode	10:5 best of 19 legs ✺
28.11.20	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Luke Woodhouse	10:1 best of 19 legs ✺
28.11.20	Niels Zonneveld - Dirk van Duijvenbode	1:6 best of 11 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWW
- Adam Hunt
Darts
18.12.20	Jamie Hughes - Adam Hunt	0:3 best of 5 sets ✺
16.12.20	Adam Hunt - Lisa Ashton	3:2 best of 5 sets ✺
04.12.20	Adam Hunt - Harald Leitinger	4:2 best of 7 legs ✺
04.12.20	Michael Smith - Adam Hunt	4:1 best of 7 legs ✺
04.12.20	Adam Hunt - Chris Dobey	0:4 best of 7 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLL

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