Match Info

World Matchplay - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Winter Gardens (Blackpool)


	Michael Van Gerwen		Dirk van Duijvenbode

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.51	2.5
	1.5	2.49	Watch
	1.48	2.58
	1.49	2.47
	1.49	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	2.52 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 18.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Van Gerwen
62.7%

Dirk van Duijvenbode
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Van Gerwen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Dirk van Duijvenbode has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dirk van Duijvenbode than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Van Gerwen will win (votes: 2 - 40%). van Duijvenbode will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 11:8

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Preview

Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4. van Duijvenbode is ranked World Ranking: 29.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 3.

Van Gerwen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

van Duijvenbode is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Van Gerwen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Van Gerwen might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:29. (average 5.6:3.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Van Gerwen
Darts
19.07.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Andrew Gilding	10:6 ✺
12.07.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Damon Heta	4:6 ✺
11.07.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Joe Cullen	6:2 ✺
07.07.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Tom Bissell	6:5 ✺
21.06.26	Michael Van Gerwen - Andrew Gilding	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWWL
- Dirk van Duijvenbode
Darts
19.07.26	Chris Dobey - Dirk van Duijvenbode	11:13 ✺
12.07.26	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Damon Heta	2:6 ✺
12.07.26	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Wessel Nijman	6:3 ✺
11.07.26	Chris Dobey - Dirk van Duijvenbode	2:6 ✺
10.07.26	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Jaimy Van de Weerd	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
07.10.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode	0:2
03.05.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode	3:6
28.02.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode	10:8
24.01.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode	6:1
30.12.22	Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode	4:1 best of 5 sets
08.05.22	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Michael Van Gerwen	5:6 best of 11 legs
01.05.22	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Michael Van Gerwen	1:6 best of 11 legs

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