Match Info

World Grand Prix - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mattioli Arena (Leicester) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	05:15	Fox Sports 505
Czech Republic	20:15	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	20:15	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	21:15	Viaplay
Germany	20:15	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Sport 1
Hungary	20:15	Sport 1, Sport 2
Iceland	18:15	Viaplay
Netherlands	20:15	Viaplay
Norway	20:15	Viaplay
Slovakia	20:15	Voyo
Sweden	20:15	Viaplay
United Kingdom	19:15	Sky Sports Main Event
International	18:15	PDC TV


	Dirk van Duijvenbode		Daryl Gurney

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.3	Watch
	1.06	6.97	Watch
	1.66	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.73)	3.44 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dirk van Duijvenbode
69.8%

Daryl Gurney
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dirk van Duijvenbode has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dirk van Duijvenbode's performance.

Daryl Gurney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daryl Gurney might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dirk van Duijvenbode than the current prediction. (-22.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dirk van Duijvenbode that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daryl Gurney than the current prediction. (+22.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daryl Gurney could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dirk van Duijvenbode - Daryl Gurney Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. van Duijvenbode (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Format: Double in, Double out.

van Duijvenbode is ranked World Ranking: 33. Gurney is ranked World Ranking: 27.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, van Duijvenbode won 2.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

van Duijvenbode may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, van Duijvenbode won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 4.7:5).

Last Results with these Odds

Daryl Gurney - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 45.16%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dirk van Duijvenbode
Darts
07.10.25	Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Gian Van Veen - Dirk van Duijvenbode	6:0 ✺
26.09.25	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Jitse Van Der Wal	6:2 ✺
19.09.25	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Tom Bissell	5:6 ✺
09.09.25	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Charlie Manby	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLW
- Daryl Gurney
Darts
07.10.25	Ross Smith - Daryl Gurney	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Daryl Gurney - William OConnor	1:6 ✺
20.09.25	Robert Cross - Daryl Gurney	6:3 ✺
19.09.25	Daryl Gurney - Leon Weber	6:1 ✺
05.09.25	Daryl Gurney - Kevin Doets	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
26.10.24	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Daryl Gurney	10:5
14.09.24	Daryl Gurney - Dirk van Duijvenbode	6:4
11.05.24	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Daryl Gurney	3:6
27.05.23	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Daryl Gurney	2:6
26.11.22	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Daryl Gurney	6:1 best of 11 legs
10.09.22	Dirk van Duijvenbode - Daryl Gurney	3:6 best of 11 legs

Dirk van Duijvenbode - Daryl Gurney