Match Info

World Grand Prix - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mattioli Arena (Leicester)


	Gerwyn Price		Ross Smith

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.72	1.72	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)	2.28 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 17.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gerwyn Price
59.1%

Ross Smith
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gerwyn Price has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Ross Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerwyn Price than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gerwyn Price - Ross Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Format: Double in, Double out.

Price is ranked World Ranking: 4., and Smith is ranked World Ranking: 14..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Price won 2.

Price has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Smith is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Price holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Price has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 58:58 (averaging 7.3:7.3 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Gerwyn Price - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.7%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gerwyn Price
Darts
28.09.26	Gerwyn Price - Sebastian Bialecki	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Ross Smith - Gerwyn Price	11:5 ✺
20.09.26	Gerwyn Price - Jonny Clayton	11:7 ✺
20.09.26	Gerwyn Price - James Wade	10:7 ✺
19.09.26	Gerwyn Price - Jim Long	10:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWW
- Ross Smith
Darts
28.09.26	Ross Smith - Cameron Menzies	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Ross Smith - Gerwyn Price	11:5 ✺
20.09.26	Ross Smith - Gian Van Veen	11:8 ✺
20.09.26	Ross Smith - Josh Rock	10:7 ✺
19.09.26	Daryl Gurney - Ross Smith	5:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
20.09.26	Ross Smith - Gerwyn Price	11:5
13.09.26	Gerwyn Price - Ross Smith	5:6
06.09.26	Gerwyn Price - Ross Smith	6:4
24.07.26	Ross Smith - Gerwyn Price	12:16
16.07.24	Gerwyn Price - Ross Smith	9:11
14.04.24	Gerwyn Price - Ross Smith	6:5
01.04.23	Gerwyn Price - Ross Smith	6:3

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