Match Info

World Series Finals - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: AFAS Live (Amsterdam)


	Ross Smith		Josh Rock

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.29
	1.58	2.28
	1.59	2.3
	1.55	2.35
	1.58	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)	2.31 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 16.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ross Smith
59.4%

Josh Rock
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ross Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Josh Rock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross Smith than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Josh Rock than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Ross Smith - Josh Rock Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

Legs O/U 16.5 - over (1.83) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 10:7

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Preview

Smith is ranked World Ranking: 14., and Rock is ranked World Ranking: 8..

Smith arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Rock have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Smith may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Smith has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:34 (averaging 7.2:6.8 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Ross Smith - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.44%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Josh Rock - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.56%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ross Smith
Darts
19.09.26	Daryl Gurney - Ross Smith	5:10 ✺
17.09.26	Kevin Doets - Ross Smith	3:6 ✺
13.09.26	Ryan Joyce - Ross Smith	5:6 ✺
13.09.26	Gerwyn Price - Ross Smith	5:6 ✺
12.09.26	Ross Smith - Jeffrey de Graaf	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW
- Josh Rock
Darts
19.09.26	Josh Rock - Ryan Searle	10:7 ✺
17.09.26	Stephen Bunting - Josh Rock	5:6 ✺
12.09.26	Josh Rock - Ryan Joyce	3:6 ✺
06.09.26	Josh Rock - William OConnor	5:6 ✺
05.09.26	Josh Rock - Ryan Joyce	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
19.04.26	Josh Rock - Ross Smith	5:6
21.07.25	Ross Smith - Josh Rock	5:10
01.03.25	Josh Rock - Ross Smith	10:9
14.07.24	Ross Smith - Josh Rock	10:4
23.06.24	Josh Rock - Ross Smith	5:6

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