Match Info

Date: 2 September 2020, Wednesday


	Glen Durrant		Michael Smith

	1	2
	1.61	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.57	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.67)	2.32 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 13.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glen Durrant
59.3%

Michael Smith
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glen Durrant has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glen Durrant than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Glen Durrant that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Glen Durrant - Michael Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Durrant will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Smith will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:7

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Preview

Durrant in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Smith is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Durrant will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Durrant won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 43-42.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glen Durrant
Darts
30.08.20	Glen Durrant - Daryl Gurney	8:3 best of 14 legs ✺
29.08.20	Gary Anderson - Glen Durrant	7:7 best of 14 legs ✺
28.08.20	Glen Durrant - Gerwyn Price	8:4 best of 14 legs ✺
27.08.20	Glen Durrant - Robert Cross	7:4 best of 12 legs ✺
26.08.20	Michael Van Gerwen - Glen Durrant	3:7 best of 12 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWW
- Michael Smith
Darts
30.08.20	Michael Van Gerwen - Michael Smith	8:5 best of 14 legs ✺
29.08.20	Michael Smith - Nathan Aspinall	6:8 best of 14 legs ✺
28.08.20	Michael Smith - Daryl Gurney	8:3 best of 14 legs ✺
27.08.20	Nathan Aspinall - Michael Smith	7:5 best of 12 legs ✺
26.08.20	Michael Smith - Robert Cross	7:3 best of 12 legs ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
22.06.20	Glen Durrant - Michael Smith	7:5 best of 12 legs
06.02.20	Michael Smith - Glen Durrant	3:7 best of 12 legs
15.11.19	Glen Durrant - Michael Smith	16:12 best of 31 legs
09.11.19	Michael Smith - Glen Durrant	5:3 best of 9 legs
27.07.19	Glen Durrant - Michael Smith	10:17 best of 33 legs

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