Match Info

Grand Slam

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: WV Active Aldersley (Wolverhampton)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 2
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
World	PDC TV


	Nathan Aspinall		Michael Smith

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.5
	1.41	2.30	Watch
	1.47	2.53
	1.47	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.51)	2.57 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nathan Aspinall
64%

Michael Smith
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nathan Aspinall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Michael Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Nathan Aspinall - Michael Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Preview

Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 21. Smith is ranked World Ranking: 21.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 2.

Aspinall is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Smith may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aspinall is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aspinall won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 91:118. (average 4.6:5.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Smith - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 36.48%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
25.10.25	Nathan Aspinall - Danny Noppert	7:10 ✺
24.10.25	Nathan Aspinall - Robert Cross	6:1 ✺
19.10.25	Jermaine Wattimena - Nathan Aspinall	4:6 ✺
19.10.25	Steve Lennon - Nathan Aspinall	2:6 ✺
18.10.25	Ross Smith - Nathan Aspinall	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWW
- Michael Smith
Darts
01.10.25	Jonny Clayton - Michael Smith	6:3 ✺
29.08.25	Michael Smith - Mario Vandenbogaerde	5:6 ✺
08.07.25	Michael Smith - Kim Huybrechts	4:6 ✺
19.06.25	Michael Smith - Steve Lennon	6:1 ✺
31.05.25	Michael Smith - Andreas Harrysson	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
08.06.24	Michael Smith - Nathan Aspinall	6:3
16.05.24	Nathan Aspinall - Michael Smith	3:6
09.05.24	Nathan Aspinall - Michael Smith	3:6
18.04.24	Michael Smith - Nathan Aspinall	4:6
22.02.24	Michael Smith - Nathan Aspinall	5:6
05.08.23	Michael Smith - Nathan Aspinall	3:7
04.05.23	Michael Smith - Nathan Aspinall	6:3

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