Match Info

European Tour 5 - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Glaspalast (Sindelfingen)


	James Wade		Nathan Aspinall

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.64
	2.11	1.61	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.1	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.08)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Wade
44%

Nathan Aspinall
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Wade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Nathan Aspinall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Wade than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Aspinall than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

James Wade - Nathan Aspinall Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:6

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Preview

Wade is ranked World Ranking: 6. Aspinall is ranked World Ranking: 14.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wade won 3.

Wade has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aspinall is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Wade may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Aspinall will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Wade won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 91:104. (average 5.4:6.1).

Last Results with these Odds

James Wade - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.94%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Wade
Darts
18.04.26	James Wade - Kim Huybrechts	6:3 ✺
14.04.26	James Wade - Leon Weber	6:3 ✺
05.04.26	James Wade - Kevin Doets	5:6 ✺
21.03.26	James Wade - Cristo Reyes	2:6 ✺
08.03.26	James Wade - Luke Littler	7:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLL
- Nathan Aspinall
Darts
18.04.26	Nathan Aspinall - Jeffrey de Zwaan	6:1 ✺
06.04.26	Kevin Doets - Nathan Aspinall	2:7 ✺
06.04.26	Nathan Aspinall - Andrew Gilding	6:4 ✺
06.04.26	Nathan Aspinall - Martin Schindler	6:2 ✺
05.04.26	Nathan Aspinall - Ricardo Pietreczko	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
06.09.25	James Wade - Nathan Aspinall	6:3
16.07.24	Nathan Aspinall - James Wade	8:11
14.10.23	Nathan Aspinall - James Wade	4:6
19.07.22	James Wade - Nathan Aspinall	9:11 best of 21 legs
27.02.22	Nathan Aspinall - James Wade	6:2 best of 11 legs
26.09.21	James Wade - Nathan Aspinall	2:6 best of 11 legs
25.05.21	James Wade - Nathan Aspinall	7:7 best of 14 legs

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