Match Info

NZ Darts Masters - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Spark Arena (Auckland)


	James Wade		Josh Rock

	1	2
	1.80	2.00	Watch
	1.78	1.98
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.90	1.87
	1.80	1.90	Watch
	1.80	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.87)	1.92 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Wade
51.3%

Josh Rock
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Wade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Josh Rock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Wade than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James Wade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Josh Rock than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Josh Rock could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

James Wade - Josh Rock Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Wade is ranked World Ranking: 6. Rock is ranked World Ranking: 8.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Wade won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:29. (average 8.5:7.3).

Last Results with these Odds

James Wade - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Josh Rock - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Wade
Darts
14.08.26	James Wade - Kayden Milne	6:0 ✺
24.07.26	Gian Van Veen - James Wade	16:13 ✺
22.07.26	James Wade - Ryan Searle	11:8 ✺
19.07.26	James Wade - Jermaine Wattimena	10:7 ✺
12.07.26	Sebastian Bialecki - James Wade	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWL
- Josh Rock
Darts
14.08.26	Josh Rock - Simon Whitlock	6:4 ✺
23.07.26	Luke Littler - Josh Rock	16:7 ✺
21.07.26	Josh Rock - Stephen Bunting	11:6 ✺
18.07.26	Josh Rock - Luke Woodhouse	10:4 ✺
25.06.26	Josh Rock - Jim Long	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
21.09.25	James Wade - Josh Rock	2:6
02.03.25	Josh Rock - James Wade	2:11
21.09.24	Josh Rock - James Wade	6:5
17.11.23	James Wade - Josh Rock	16:15

James Wade - Josh Rock: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide