Match Info

European Championship - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Westfalenhalle (Dortmund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	ITV 4
World	PDC TV


	James Wade		Mike De Decker

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.12	Watch
	1.24	3.45	Watch
	1.7	2.07
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.66)	2.41 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 9.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Wade
60.3%

Mike De Decker
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Wade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Mike De Decker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Wade than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James Wade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mike De Decker than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mike De Decker could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	0%	92.9%

James Wade - Mike De Decker Predictions

Users Predictions: Mike De Decker will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mike De Decker will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 6:4

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Preview

Wade is ranked World Ranking: 5. De Decker is ranked World Ranking: 20.

Recent form of Wade has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

De Decker has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Wade won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 3:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Wade
Darts
18.10.25	James Wade - Jermaine Wattimena	3:6 ✺
06.10.25	James Wade - Joe Cullen	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	James Wade - Keane Barry	6:3 ✺
27.09.25	James Wade - Ryan Joyce	5:6 ✺
21.09.25	James Wade - Josh Rock	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Mike De Decker
Darts
18.10.25	Mike De Decker - Wessel Nijman	2:6 ✺
09.10.25	Luke Littler - Mike De Decker	3:0 ✺
07.10.25	Peter Wright - Mike De Decker	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Mike De Decker - Peter Wright	6:2 ✺
27.09.25	Mike De Decker - Krzysztof Ratajski	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Darts
31.01.25	James Wade - Mike De Decker	3:2
11.10.24	Mike De Decker - James Wade	3:0
12.04.24	Mike De Decker - James Wade	3:6

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