Match Info

MODUS Super Series

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday


	Jeroen Caron		Jurjen van der Velde

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.55
			Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.57)	1.56 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeroen Caron
40.3%

Jurjen van der Velde
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeroen Caron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Jurjen van der Velde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeroen Caron than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jeroen Caron that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurjen van der Velde than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jurjen van der Velde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jeroen Caron - Jurjen van der Velde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Preview

Jeroen Caron is ranked World Ranking: 179. van der Velde is ranked World Ranking: 143.

Recent form of Jeroen Caron has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

van der Velde has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

van der Velde is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that van der Velde will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jeroen Caron won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeroen Caron
Darts
24.09.25	Daniel Ayres - Jeroen Caron	4:2 ✺
24.09.25	Jamai van den Herik - Jeroen Caron	4:1 ✺
24.09.25	Jeroen Caron - Reece Robinson	0:4 ✺
23.09.25	Jeroen Caron - Jamai van den Herik	2:4 ✺
23.09.25	Daniel Ayres - Jeroen Caron	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Jurjen van der Velde
Darts
24.09.25	Jurjen van der Velde - Jamai van den Herik	1:4 ✺
24.09.25	Reece Robinson - Jurjen van der Velde	4:2 ✺
24.09.25	Jurjen van der Velde - Dean Gallagher	4:1 ✺
23.09.25	Dean Gallagher - Jurjen van der Velde	3:4 ✺
23.09.25	Jurjen van der Velde - Reece Robinson	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Darts
23.09.25	Jurjen van der Velde - Jeroen Caron	4:2
22.09.25	Jeroen Caron - Jurjen van der Velde	4:1

Jeroen Caron - Jurjen van der Velde: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide